Wilson was well under this number before overtime last weekend, putting him under 241 yards in four of the Broncos games. Fox Bet is giving me 241.5 yards, and I’ll gladly take the Under. PICK: Seahawks (+2.5 at FOX Bet) to lose by fewer than 2.5 points (or win outright)īroncos Country, Let’s Ride! I will continue to fade Russell Wilson’s quarterback passing yards prop number. Meanwhile, Pete Carroll is over 60% as an underdog coming off a loss. Their offense always looks disjointed, and playing in Seattle won’t help their cause.Īlso, it's worth noting that Cardinals coach Kliff Kingsbury is awful against the spread as a favorite, only covering eight of 22 games. They are 21st in run blocking and 14th in pass protection. However, can the Cardinals offense take advantage? I don’t see any evidence of that. The Seahawks can be had on defense, where they are not good.
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They are ranked 32nd by Pro Football Focus in coverage, which is not ideal against this potent Seattle passing attack. The Cardinals defense is 26th and does nothing well. I did not predict Geno Smith leading the most efficient offense in the NFL! Seattle is 10th in overall DVOA and has the top-ranked offense, averaging 6.6 yards per play. Seattle is the better team right now, and it’s not close. The wrong team is the favorite in this matchup of bird mascots. PICK: Falcons (+5.5 at FOX Bet) to lose by fewer than 5.5 points (or win outright) I do not think the Falcons will win the game, but I’ll take them to cover the 5.5 points He’s good enough to make things very difficult for Jimmy G. However, I do like the matchup of Falcons' defensive tackle Grady Jarrett against any of the Niners' interior linemen. The 49ers offense should move the ball well enough against this Falcons defense. Without three starting defensive linemen, the Falcons' offense will control the line of scrimmage. The 49ers were already without Arik Armstead and Kinlaw in Carolina. Their best cornerback, Jimmie Ward, will miss time with a wrist injury and their best pass rusher, Nick Bosa, left the game with a groin injury. The 49ers easily dispatched the Panthers on Sunday, but that win came at a cost. The Falcons have another opportunity this weekend to keep a game close with a larger point spread. Like most teams whose primary method of offense is running the ball, it takes some game minutes to get comfortable getting into a rhythm with the ground attack. They’ve been able to claw back into football games with their diverse rushing attack that ranked second before last weekend.
They are feisty, and they seem to pick up steam as the game grows longer. The Atlanta Falcons are 2-3 on the season but have covered all five football games they’ve played. PICK: Steelers (+8 at FOX Bet) to lose by fewer than 8 points (or win outright) This is a lowly Steelers team that no one believes in, facing a Tampa Bay team that is better on paper than they’ve played. I’m just not sure the Bucs are all that good right now, and this is the perfect spot to buy against them. They lost to the Packers, got blown out by the Chiefs, and without a horrendous roughing the passer call against Grady Jarrett, the Falcons would have the ball driving to win on Sunday. However, I’m losing my optimism as the Bucs seem to be stuck in the mud. He’s the best ever, and no matter how shaky his team might look, he has shown over and over again it might not matter. I’m always optimistic about a Tom Brady team. They can’t be worse on Sunday against the Bucs. The biggest issue for the Steelers' offense on Sunday was their 0-for-4 performance in the red zone.
Pickett only turned the ball over once and played better than the box score suggests. Second, this is Kenny Pickett’s first home start, and I would expect improvement from the offense after scoring only three points against Buffalo. The Steelers might be the worst team in football, but I will back them here.įirst, Tomlin’s teams are fantastic against the spread at home.
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